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Competitive power

AI labs and Big Tech

An AI lab's power depends on five connected resources: models, talent, capital, compute capacity and distribution.

Central question

Who is winning the AI race, and why?

Current answer

There is no absolute leader: OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, Meta and xAI trade advantages depending on the resource observed. This archive tracks those changes over time.

What we track

  • OpenAI, Anthropic and Google DeepMind
  • Meta AI and xAI
  • models, talent and distribution

Second-order signals

  • governance and alliances
  • revenue and access to compute
  • government dependency

Semantic relationship

AI labs compete for models, talent, capital, compute and distribution.

Dossiers building this analysis16 dossiers

SVC-052OpenAI is $20 billion short and done with the people who warnOctober 9, 2026 · 26 minSVC-051All three labs charge the same. Now they compete for your keysOctober 2, 2026 · 24 minSVC-050The frontier gets 50% cheaper. The model is no longer the moatSeptember 25, 2026 · 23 minSVC-049The labs want to slow down. The court filings explain whySeptember 18, 2026 · 25 minSVC-047Runaway Agents: AI Breaks Its Security ChainsSeptember 4, 2026 · 22 minSVC-046Mom, the AI Ran Away From HomeJuly 26, 2026 · 21 minSVC-039Anthropic Dethrones OpenAI — but Musk Holds the Sword of DamoclesMay 30, 2026 · 21 minSVC-038Karpathy, $900 Billion, and a First ProfitMay 24, 2026 · 20 minSVC-037Anthropic Just Won the AI War.May 16, 2026 · 17 minSVC-034Anthropic Overtakes OpenAI in Revenue. Nobody Saw It Coming.April 25, 2026 · 18 minSVC-032Zero TrustApril 12, 2026 · 20 minSVC-024When the Brakes Abandon the CarFebruary 14, 2026 · 8 minSVC-020Musk vs Altman: $134 Billion on the LineJanuary 17, 2026 · 13 minSVC-014OpenAI in "Code Red", Apple Loses 4 Executives, Meta Delays PhoenixDecember 6, 2025 · 6 minSVC-002Microsoft Loses Control of OpenAI Over $500 BillionSeptember 13, 2025 · 6 minSVC-001Musk's xAI Loses Its CFO in 3 Months: The 7 Tech Moves Nobody Told You About This WeekSeptember 6, 2025 · 8 min